ICM has prepared its latest poll for tomorrow's News of the World, and it's one that might allay some fears over at Millbank:
ICM - 4 Mar 2010
CON 40% (+3)
LAB 31% (+1)
LD 18% (-2)
Two things to say about this. Firstly, UK Polling Report has focused on the 'two-horse race' media coverage to explain the drop in Lib Dem support. I'm not so sure - earlier this week we had stories on the Leaders' debates, with Nick Clegg given equal billing to Cameron and Brown. I would have expected the Liberals keep the benefit they saw in earlier polls from this coverage, and it must be a worry that their numbers have dropped so quickly.
Secondly, we have the Conservatives back over the psychological 40% mark, and this in a poll that was run Tuesday-Thursday, right at the very high-point of the Lord Ashcroft coverage. Perhaps this offers further evidence that the electorate either wasn't interested in the matter, or just filed it next to expenses as just another Westminster debacle? Labour will be hoping that the Prime Minister's evidence to the Iraq enquiry on Friday (after this poll closed) will have a similarly minimal effect on their numbers...
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