Tuesday 9 March 2010

Pollwatch - Thank God!

It seemed like another setback when last night's Times/Populus poll had the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck at 38% in its 'poll of marginals' last night. Thankfully, as Iain Dale has pointed out, the figures headlined by the press today do not tell the whole story.

This was not a poll of all marginals, it was not even a poll of all Conservative/Labour marginals - this was a poll carried out in the 51st-150th marginal Labour seats, and shows a ~7% swing from Labour to Conservative in those seats. This by no means seals the deal in those areas, but it will provide a welcome boost to activists after a week or two of what can only be described as poor media coverage. If, in turn, their efforts can boost the blue share of the vote in the next poll, it will be interesting to see what that does to projections of a potential Conservative majority.




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